Warren County vs. Pennsylvania
Comparative Trends Analysis:
Population Growth and Change, 1969-2022
Introduction
Warren County vs. Pennsylvania
Warren County:
2022 Population = 37,808
2022 Percent of State = 0.29%
Pennsylvania:
2022 Population = 12,972,008
2022 Percent of U.S. = 3.89%
Attracting and retaining people to live, work, raise a family, and retire underlies the economic vitality of any region. Population growth is both a cause--and a consequence--of economic growth. Patterns of population growth and change reflect differences among regions to attract and retain people both as producers and consumers in their economy.
The following graphs offer a broad overview of trends in the pattern of population growth and change of Warren County with comparisons to Pennsylvania and the nation at large. This analysis features alternative approaches toward discussing, diagnosing and comparing Warren County vs. Pennsylvania's population growth over 1969-2022. The data used are those compiled by the Regional Income and Product Divisions of the Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce.
Population, 1969-2022
Population, 1969-2022
Figure 1.
Figure 1 tracks Warren County's annual population for the period 1969-2022 to illustrate population patterns over time. During this 54-year period, Warren County's population dropped from 47,456 in 1969 to 37,808 in 2022, for a net loss of -9,648, or -20.33%.
NOTE: The county and state population totals reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) are from the Bureau of Census midyear (July 1) estimates. These estimates may differ from those prepared independently in some states by various agencies and/or universities.
Population, 1969-2022
Population, 1969-2022
Figure 2.
Figure 2 tracks Pennsylvania's annual population for the period 1969-2022 to illustrate population patterns over time. During this 54-year period, Pennsylvania's population rose from 11,741,000 in 1969 to 12,972,008 in 2022, for a net gain of 1,231,008, or 10.48%.
NOTE: The county and state population totals reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) are from the Bureau of Census midyear (July 1) estimates. These estimates may differ from those prepared independently in some states by various agencies and/or universities.
Population Indices (1969=100): 1969-2022
Population Indices (1969=100): 1969-2022
Figure 3.
Figure 3 portrays Warren County's population growth in a broader context by offering direct comparisons across time with Pennsylvania, the United States. The growth indices shown here express each region's population in 1969 as a base figure of 100, and the populations in later years as a percentage of the 1969 base figure. This method allows for more direct comparison of differences in population growth between regions that may differ vastly in size.
Warren County's overall population growth was -20.33% over 1969-2022 trailed Pennsylvania's increase of 10.48%, and fell below the United States' increase of 65.57%.
Population as a Percent of the Pennsylvania Total: 1969-2022
Population as a Percent of the Pennsylvania Total: 1969-2022
Figure 4.
Another interesting and insightful way of contrasting the population growth of Warren County is to trace its individual percentage contributions to Pennsylvania's statewide population over time, as shown in Figure 4. A rising share means a region's population grew faster, or declined less, than Pennsylvania's population, while a declining share shows it grew more slowly.
In 1969, Warren County's population totaled 0.40% of Pennsylvania's population, while in 2022 it equated to 0.29% thereby yielding a -0.11% share-shift.
   
 
Population Share-Shift
2022 vs. 1969
 
Share-
Shift*
 
2022
vs.
1969
-0.11%
=
0.29%
-
0.40%
 
   
Warren County Population:
Annual Percent Change, 1970-2022
Warren County Population:
Annual Percent Change, 1970-2022
Figure 5.
Figure 5 displays the short-run pattern of Warren County's population growth by tracking the year-to-year percent change over 1970-2022. The average annual percent change for the entire 53-year period is also illustrated on this chart to provide a benchmark for gauging periods of relative high--and relative low--growth against the backdrop of the long-term average.
On average, Warren County's population contracted at an annual rate of -0.43% over 1970-2022. The county recorded its highest growth in 1971 (1.48%) and posted its lowest growth in 1973 (-2.41%). In 2022, Warren County's population declined by -0.81%
Warren County Population:
Annual Percent Change and Decade Averages Over 1970-2022
Warren County Population:
Annual Percent Change and Decade Averages Over 1970-2022
Figure 6.
Over the past five decades some counties have experienced extreme swings in growth, and often such swings have tended to coincide with the decades themselves. Figure 6 again shows the annual percent change in Warren County's population since 1970, but this time they are displayed with average growth rates for the decade of the 1970s, 1980s, 1990s, 2000s, 2010s, and 2020-2022.
During the 1970s, Warren County's annual population growth rate averaged -0.07%. It averaged -0.41% in the 1980s, -0.25% throughout the 1990s, -0.52% during the 2000s, -0.75% throughout the 2010s, -0.86% thus far this decade (2020-2022).
Population Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change by Decade
Population Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change by Decade
Figure 7.
Figure 7 compares the decade average growth rates for Warren County noted in the previous graph with the corresponding decade averages for Pennsylvania and the nation. As the chart reveals, Warren County's average annual population growth recorded under Pennsylvania's average during the 1970s (-0.07% vs. 0.11%), lagged Pennsylvania's average throughout the 1980s (-0.41% vs. -0.01%), trailed Pennsylvania's average in the 1990s (-0.25% vs. 0.33%), lagged Pennsylvania's average throughout the 2000s (-0.52% vs. 0.32%), recorded under Pennsylvania's average throughout the 2010s (-0.75% vs. 0.25%), and posted below Pennsylvania's average over the 3 year period of the current decade, 2020-2022 (-0.86% vs. -0.05%).
Finally, relative to nationwide population growth trends, Warren County recorded underneath the nation in the 1970s (-0.07% vs. 1.10%), recorded underneath the nation in the 1980s (-0.41% vs. 0.95%), posted below the nation during the 1990s (-0.25% vs. 1.23%), fell below the nation in the 2000s (-0.52% vs. 0.95%), fell below the nation throughout the 2010s (-0.75% vs. 0.74%), and trailed the nation over 2020-2022 (-0.86% vs. 0.31%).
   
 
Population Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change
 
 
 
-0.43
-0.07
-0.41
-0.25
-0.52
-0.75
-0.86
-0.81
 
0.19
0.11
-0.01
0.33
0.32
0.25
-0.05
-0.31
 
0.96
1.10
0.95
1.23
0.95
0.74
0.31
0.38
 
   

Interactive TableTip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
Warren County:
Population, 1969-2022
 
1969
 
47,456
100.0
N
0.40
1970
 
47,788
100.7
0.70
0.40
1971
 
48,494
102.2
1.48
0.41
1972
 
49,196
103.7
1.45
0.41
1973
 
48,010
101.2
-2.41
0.40
1974
 
48,095
101.3
0.18
0.41
1975
 
48,357
101.9
0.54
0.41
1976
 
47,976
101.1
-0.79
0.40
1977
 
47,991
101.1
0.03
0.40
1978
 
47,293
99.7
-1.45
0.40
1979
 
47,109
99.3
-0.39
0.40
1980
 
47,566
100.2
0.97
0.40
1981
 
47,938
101.0
0.78
0.40
1982
 
48,066
101.3
0.27
0.41
1983
 
47,982
101.1
-0.17
0.41
1984
 
47,593
100.3
-0.81
0.40
1985
 
46,633
98.3
-2.02
0.40
1986
 
46,185
97.3
-0.96
0.39
1987
 
45,826
96.6
-0.78
0.39
1988
 
45,452
95.8
-0.82
0.38
1989
 
45,179
95.2
-0.60
0.38
1990
 
45,039
94.9
-0.31
0.38
1991
 
45,106
95.0
0.15
0.38
1992
 
45,156
95.2
0.11
0.37
1993
 
45,594
96.1
0.97
0.38
1994
 
44,998
94.8
-1.31
0.37
1995
 
44,971
94.8
-0.06
0.37
1996
 
44,892
94.6
-0.18
0.37
1997
 
44,549
93.9
-0.76
0.36
1998
 
44,264
93.3
-0.64
0.36
1999
 
44,064
92.9
-0.45
0.36
2000
 
43,716
92.1
-0.79
0.36
2001
 
43,562
91.8
-0.35
0.35
2002
 
43,184
91.0
-0.87
0.35
2003
 
42,896
90.4
-0.67
0.35
2004
 
42,667
89.9
-0.53
0.34
2005
 
42,218
89.0
-1.05
0.34
2006
 
41,972
88.4
-0.58
0.34
2007
 
41,963
88.4
-0.02
0.33
2008
 
41,853
88.2
-0.26
0.33
2009
 
41,831
88.1
-0.05
0.33
2010
 
41,760
88.0
-0.17
0.33
2011
 
41,459
87.4
-0.72
0.32
2012
 
41,173
86.8
-0.69
0.32
2013
 
40,827
86.0
-0.84
0.32
2014
 
40,490
85.3
-0.83
0.31
2015
 
40,129
84.6
-0.89
0.31
2016
 
39,782
83.8
-0.86
0.31
2017
 
39,387
83.0
-0.99
0.30
2018
 
39,193
82.6
-0.49
0.30
2019
 
38,798
81.8
-1.01
0.30
2020
 
38,516
81.2
-0.73
0.30
2021
 
38,115
80.3
-1.04
0.29
2022
 
37,808
79.7
-0.81
0.29
Source: Calculations by the Pennsylvania Regional Economic Analysis Project (PA-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1400_100_PSN
 
   

Interactive TableTip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
Pennsylvania:
Population, 1969-2022
 
1969
 
11,741,000
100.0
N
5.83
1970
 
11,811,561
100.6
0.60
5.80
1971
 
11,884,354
101.2
0.62
5.75
1972
 
11,904,541
101.4
0.17
5.69
1973
 
11,885,202
101.2
-0.16
5.62
1974
 
11,863,936
101.0
-0.18
5.56
1975
 
11,897,778
101.3
0.29
5.52
1976
 
11,887,478
101.2
-0.09
5.46
1977
 
11,881,857
101.2
-0.05
5.41
1978
 
11,864,774
101.1
-0.14
5.34
1979
 
11,873,563
101.1
0.07
5.29
1980
 
11,868,305
101.1
-0.04
5.22
1981
 
11,858,569
101.0
-0.08
5.17
1982
 
11,845,146
100.9
-0.11
5.11
1983
 
11,837,726
100.8
-0.06
5.06
1984
 
11,815,175
100.6
-0.19
5.01
1985
 
11,770,865
100.3
-0.38
4.95
1986
 
11,782,754
100.4
0.10
4.91
1987
 
11,810,869
100.6
0.24
4.87
1988
 
11,845,755
100.9
0.30
4.84
1989
 
11,865,992
101.1
0.17
4.81
1990
 
11,903,299
101.4
0.31
4.77
1991
 
11,982,164
102.1
0.66
4.74
1992
 
12,049,450
102.6
0.56
4.70
1993
 
12,119,724
103.2
0.58
4.66
1994
 
12,166,050
103.6
0.38
4.62
1995
 
12,198,403
103.9
0.27
4.58
1996
 
12,220,464
104.1
0.18
4.54
1997
 
12,227,814
104.1
0.06
4.48
1998
 
12,245,672
104.3
0.15
4.44
1999
 
12,263,805
104.5
0.15
4.39
2000
 
12,284,173
104.6
0.17
4.35
2001
 
12,298,970
104.8
0.12
4.32
2002
 
12,331,031
105.0
0.26
4.29
2003
 
12,374,658
105.4
0.35
4.27
2004
 
12,410,722
105.7
0.29
4.24
2005
 
12,449,990
106.0
0.32
4.21
2006
 
12,510,809
106.6
0.49
4.19
2007
 
12,563,937
107.0
0.42
4.17
2008
 
12,612,285
107.4
0.38
4.15
2009
 
12,666,858
107.9
0.43
4.13
2010
 
12,716,521
108.3
0.39
4.11
2011
 
12,772,774
108.8
0.44
4.10
2012
 
12,815,609
109.2
0.34
4.08
2013
 
12,846,775
109.4
0.24
4.06
2014
 
12,880,463
109.7
0.26
4.03
2015
 
12,898,688
109.9
0.14
4.01
2016
 
12,918,191
110.0
0.15
3.98
2017
 
12,945,337
110.3
0.21
3.96
2018
 
12,980,864
110.6
0.27
3.95
2019
 
12,991,448
110.7
0.08
3.93
2020
 
12,994,440
110.7
0.02
3.92
2021
 
13,012,059
110.8
0.14
3.92
2022
 
12,972,008
110.5
-0.31
3.89
Source: Calculations by the Pennsylvania Regional Economic Analysis Project (PA-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1400_100_PSN
 
   

Interactive TableTip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
United States:
Population, 1969-2022
 
1969
 
201,298,000
100.0
N
1970
 
203,798,722
101.2
1.24
1971
 
206,817,509
102.7
1.48
1972
 
209,274,882
104.0
1.19
1973
 
211,349,205
105.0
0.99
1974
 
213,333,635
106.0
0.94
1975
 
215,456,585
107.0
1.00
1976
 
217,553,859
108.1
0.97
1977
 
219,760,875
109.2
1.01
1978
 
222,098,244
110.3
1.06
1979
 
224,568,579
111.6
1.11
1980
 
227,224,719
112.9
1.18
1981
 
229,465,744
114.0
0.99
1982
 
231,664,432
115.1
0.96
1983
 
233,792,014
116.1
0.92
1984
 
235,824,907
117.2
0.87
1985
 
237,923,734
118.2
0.89
1986
 
240,132,831
119.3
0.93
1987
 
242,288,936
120.4
0.90
1988
 
244,499,004
121.5
0.91
1989
 
246,819,222
122.6
0.95
1990
 
249,622,814
124.0
1.14
1991
 
252,980,941
125.7
1.35
1992
 
256,514,224
127.4
1.40
1993
 
259,918,588
129.1
1.33
1994
 
263,125,821
130.7
1.23
1995
 
266,278,393
132.3
1.20
1996
 
269,394,284
133.8
1.17
1997
 
272,646,925
135.4
1.21
1998
 
275,854,104
137.0
1.18
1999
 
279,040,168
138.6
1.15
2000
 
282,162,411
140.2
1.12
2001
 
284,968,955
141.6
0.99
2002
 
287,625,193
142.9
0.93
2003
 
290,107,933
144.1
0.86
2004
 
292,805,298
145.5
0.93
2005
 
295,516,599
146.8
0.93
2006
 
298,379,912
148.2
0.97
2007
 
301,231,207
149.6
0.96
2008
 
304,093,966
151.1
0.95
2009
 
306,771,529
152.4
0.88
2010
 
309,378,433
153.7
0.85
2011
 
311,841,632
154.9
0.80
2012
 
314,344,331
156.2
0.80
2013
 
316,735,375
157.3
0.76
2014
 
319,270,047
158.6
0.80
2015
 
321,829,327
159.9
0.80
2016
 
324,367,742
161.1
0.79
2017
 
326,623,063
162.3
0.70
2018
 
328,542,157
163.2
0.59
2019
 
330,233,102
164.1
0.51
2020
 
331,511,512
164.7
0.39
2021
 
332,031,554
164.9
0.16
2022
 
333,287,557
165.6
0.38
Source: Calculations by the Pennsylvania Regional Economic Analysis Project (PA-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1400_100_PN
 
   
Copyright © 2023. Pacific Northwest Regional Economic Analysis Project (PNREAP). All Rights Reserved.

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