Carbon County vs. Pennsylvania
Comparative Trends Analysis:
Total Employment Growth and Change, 1969-2017
Introduction
Carbon County:
2017 Jobs = 23,596
2017 Percent of State = 0.3%
Pennsylvania:
2017 Jobs = 7,685,285
2017 Percent of State = 3.9%
Employment numbers remain the most popular and frequently cited statistics used for tracking local area economic conditions and trends. The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) employment estimates reported measure the number of full- and part-time wage and salary employees, plus the number of proprietors of unincorporated businesses. People holding more than one job are counted in the employment estimates for each job they hold. This means BEA employment estimates represent a job count, not a people count. Also, BEA employment is by place-of-work, rather than by place-of-residence. Jobs held by neighboring county residents who commute to Carbon County to work are included in the employment count for Carbon County.
Data Definition:
The BEA employment series for states and local areas comprises estimates of the number of jobs, full-time plus part-time, by place of work. Full-time and part-time jobs are counted at equal weight. Employees, sole proprietors, and active partners are included, but unpaid family workers and volunteers are not included. Proprietors employment consists of the number of sole proprietorships and the number of partners in partnerships. The description "by place of work" applies to the wage and salary portion of the series and, with relatively little error, to the entire series. The proprietors employment portion of the series, however, is more nearly by place of residence because, for nonfarm sole proprietorships, the estimates are based on IRS tax data that reflect the address from which the proprietor's individual tax return is filed, which is usually the proprietor's residence. The nonfarm partnership portion of the proprietors employment series reflects the tax-filing address of the partnership, which may be either the residence of one of the partners or the business address of the partnership. The employment estimates are designed to be consistent with the estimates of wage and salary disbursements and proprietors' income that are part of the personal income series. The employment estimates are based on the same sets of source data as the corresponding earnings estimates and are prepared with parallel methodologies. Two forms of proprietors' income-the income of limited partnerships and the income of tax-exempt cooperatives-have no corresponding employment estimates.
Total Employment, 1969-2017
Total Employment, 1969-2017
Figure 1.
Figure 1 tracks Carbon County's annual total employment for the period 1969-2017 to illustrate total employment patterns over time. During this 49-year period, Carbon County's total employment rose from 17,534 in 1969 to 23,596 in 2017, for a net gain of 6,062, or 34.6%.
Total Employment, 1969-2017
Total Employment, 1969-2017
Figure 2.
Figure 2 tracks Pennsylvania's annual total employment for the period 1969-2017 to illustrate total employment patterns over time. During this 49-year period, Pennsylvania's total employment rose from 5,249,940 in 1969 to 7,685,285 in 2017, for a net gain of 2,435,345, or 46.4%.
Total Employment Indices (1969=100): 1969-2017
Total Employment Indices (1969=100): 1969-2017
Figure 3.
Figure 3 shows Carbon County's total employment growth in a broader context by offering direct comparisons across time with Pennsylvania, the United States. The growth indices shown here express each region's total employment in 1969 as a base figure of 100, and the total employments in later years as a percentage of the 1969 base figure. This method allows for more direct comparison of differences in total employment growth between regions that may differ vastly in size.
Carbon County's overall total employment growth was 34.6% over 1969-2017 trailed Pennsylvania's increase of 46.4%, and fell below the United States' increase of 115.4%.
Total Employment as a Percent of the Pennsylvania Total: 1969-2017
Total Employment as a Percent of the Pennsylvania Total: 1969-2017
Figure 4.
Another interesting and insightful way of highlighting the total employment growth of Carbon County is to trace its individual percentage contributions to Pennsylvania's statewide total employment over time, as shown in Figure 4. A rising share means a region's total employment grew faster�or declined less�than Pennsylvania's total employment, while a declining share shows it grew more slowly.
In 1969, Carbon County's total employment totaled 0.33% of Pennsylvania's total employment, while in 2017 it comprised 0.31% thereby yielding a -0.03% share-shift.
   
 
Total Employment Share-Shift
2017 vs. 1969
 
Share-
Shift*
 
2017
vs.
1969
-0.03%
=
0.31%
-
0.33%
 
   
Carbon County Total Employment:
Annual Percent Change, 1970-2017
Carbon County Total Employment:
Annual Percent Change, 1970-2017
Figure 5.
Figure 5 displays the short-run pattern of Carbon County's total employment growth by tracking the year-to-year percent change over 1970-2017. The average annual percent change for the entire 48-year period is also traced on this chart to provide a benchmark for gauging periods of relative high--and relative low--growth against the backdrop of the long-term average.
On average, Carbon County's total employment grew at an annual rate of 0.64% over 1970-2017. The county recorded its highest growth in 1997 (5.22%) and posted its lowest growth in 1981 (-3.79%). In 2017, Carbon County's total employment declined by -0.32%
Carbon County Total Employment:
Annual Percent Change and Decade Averages Over 1970-2017
Carbon County Total Employment:
Annual Percent Change and Decade Averages Over 1970-2017
Figure 6.
Over the past four decades some counties have experienced extreme swings in growth, and often such swings have tended to coincide with the decades themselves. Figure 6 again traces the annual percent change in Carbon County's total employment since 1970, but this time they are displayed with average growth rates for the decade of the 1970s, 1980s, 1990s, 2000s, and 2010-2017.
During the 1970s, Carbon County's annual total employment growth rate averaged 0.82%. It averaged 0.42% in the 1980s, 1.35% throughout the 1990s, 0.32% throughout the 2000s, and 0.21% thus far this decade (2010 to 2017).
Total Employment Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change by Decade
Total Employment Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change by Decade
Figure 7.
Figure 7 compares the decade average growth rates for Carbon County noted in the previous graph with the corresponding decade averages for Pennsylvania and the nation. As the chart reveals, Carbon County's average annual total employment growth registered above Pennsylvania's average throughout the 1970s (0.82% vs. 0.77%), fell below Pennsylvania's average throughout the 1980s (0.42% vs. 0.95%), registered above Pennsylvania's average throughout the 1990s (1.35% vs. 0.85%), lagged Pennsylvania's average during the 2000s (0.32% vs. 0.50%), and lagged Pennsylvania's average over the 8 year period of the last decade, 2010-2017 (0.21% vs. 0.99%).
Finally, relative to nationwide total employment growth trends, Carbon County fell under the nation throughout the 1970s (0.82% vs. 2.21%), fell under the nation throughout the 1980s (0.42% vs. 1.88%), posted below the nation in the 1990s (1.35% vs. 1.73%), fell below the nation in the 2000s (0.32% vs. 0.74%), and fell below the nation over 2010-2017 (0.21% vs. 1.54%).
   
 
Total Employment Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change
 
 
 
0.64
0.82
0.42
1.35
0.32
0.21
-0.32
 
0.81
0.77
0.95
0.85
0.50
0.99
1.16
 
1.62
2.21
1.88
1.73
0.74
1.54
1.43
 
   
Job Ratios (Employment/Population): 1969-2017
Job Ratios (Employment/Population): 1969-2017
Figure 8.
The job ratios shown in Figure 8 for Carbon County, Pennsylvania and the nation not only portray a number of important trends, they also serves as a thumbnail guide to evaluating an economy's capacity to generate enough jobs fast enough to absorb the increasing number of workers attendant to a growing population. The job ratio is the number of full-time and part-time jobs by place of work, divided by population.
Nationally, the job ratio rose from 0.45 to 0.60 between 1969 and 2017. Carbon County's job ratio registered 0.35 in 1969, and 0.37 in 2017. Underlying the rising job ratio over the past several decades have been the increases in the labor force participation rates, with the number and proportion of women in the labor market playing a leading role.
An assortment of other factors can contribute to regional differences in the job ratio. They include differences in the proportion of elderly and retirees who no longer work and participate in the labor force, differences in the number and proportion of part-time vs. full-time workers, differences in industry composition, and differences in age and sex distribution and degree of urbanization. Also, a disproportionate number of workers commuting to work outside a county tends to lower its local county job ratio, while a net inflow of workers commuting to work inside the county tends to augment its local county job ratio.
Avoid interpreting the job ratio as the fraction (or percent) of the local population employed. This interpretation should only apply to the "employment-population ratio" statistic compiled by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) from the Current Population Survey (CPS).
Job Ratios (Employment/Population)
as a Percent of the U.S. Average:
1969-2017
Job Ratios (Employment/Population)
as a Percent of the U.S. Average:
1969-2017
Figure 9.
To highlight trends in a local job ratio relative to nationwide trends, Figure 9 tracks Carbon County's, Pennsylvania's job ratio as a percent of the national job ratio over 1969-2017.

Tip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
Carbon County:
Total Employment, 1969-2017
 
1969
 
17,534
100.0
N
0.33
0.35
76.35
1970
 
17,421
99.4
-0.64
0.33
0.34
76.99
1971
 
17,422
99.4
0.01
0.34
0.34
77.87
1972
 
17,855
101.8
2.49
0.34
0.35
77.63
1973
 
18,665
106.5
4.54
0.35
0.36
77.16
1974
 
18,509
105.6
-0.84
0.34
0.35
75.11
1975
 
18,420
105.1
-0.48
0.35
0.35
75.55
1976
 
18,326
104.5
-0.51
0.34
0.35
74.05
1977
 
18,612
106.1
1.56
0.34
0.35
73.01
1978
 
18,806
107.3
1.04
0.34
0.35
71.08
1979
 
18,996
108.3
1.01
0.34
0.35
70.39
1980
 
18,685
106.6
-1.64
0.33
0.35
69.80
1981
 
17,977
102.5
-3.79
0.32
0.34
66.98
1982
 
17,540
100.0
-2.43
0.32
0.33
66.02
1983
 
17,660
100.7
0.68
0.33
0.33
66.29
1984
 
17,717
101.0
0.32
0.32
0.33
64.44
1985
 
17,277
98.5
-2.48
0.30
0.32
61.79
1986
 
17,415
99.3
0.80
0.30
0.32
60.89
1987
 
18,136
103.4
4.14
0.30
0.33
61.70
1988
 
18,820
107.3
3.77
0.31
0.34
62.41
1989
 
19,730
112.5
4.84
0.32
0.35
63.77
1990
 
20,555
117.2
4.18
0.33
0.36
65.10
1991
 
20,358
116.1
-0.96
0.33
0.35
65.07
1992
 
20,534
117.1
0.86
0.33
0.35
65.84
1993
 
20,417
116.4
-0.57
0.33
0.35
64.63
1994
 
20,635
117.7
1.07
0.33
0.35
64.24
1995
 
20,739
118.3
0.50
0.32
0.35
63.69
1996
 
20,614
117.6
-0.60
0.32
0.35
62.67
1997
 
21,690
123.7
5.22
0.33
0.37
64.96
1998
 
22,377
127.6
3.17
0.34
0.38
66.22
1999
 
22,518
128.4
0.63
0.33
0.38
66.10
2000
 
22,726
129.6
0.92
0.33
0.39
65.94
2001
 
22,007
125.5
-3.16
0.32
0.37
63.87
2002
 
21,931
125.1
-0.35
0.32
0.37
63.87
2003
 
21,745
124.0
-0.85
0.32
0.36
62.89
2004
 
22,254
126.9
2.34
0.32
0.36
62.98
2005
 
22,734
129.7
2.16
0.32
0.36
62.51
2006
 
22,975
131.0
1.06
0.32
0.36
61.77
2007
 
23,388
133.4
1.80
0.32
0.36
60.99
2008
 
23,390
133.4
0.01
0.32
0.36
61.11
2009
 
23,216
132.4
-0.74
0.33
0.36
62.91
2010
 
23,292
132.8
0.33
0.33
0.36
63.86
2011
 
23,428
133.6
0.58
0.32
0.36
63.70
2012
 
23,249
132.6
-0.76
0.32
0.36
62.93
2013
 
23,558
134.4
1.33
0.32
0.36
63.30
2014
 
24,086
137.4
2.24
0.32
0.37
64.13
2015
 
23,796
135.7
-1.20
0.32
0.37
62.96
2016
 
23,672
135.0
-0.52
0.31
0.37
62.33
2017
 
23,596
134.6
-0.32
0.31
0.37
61.37
Source: Calculations by the Pennsylvania Regional Economic Analysis Project (PA-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2018
REAP_PI_CA1400_1000_PSN
 
   

Tip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
Pennsylvania:
Total Employment, 1969-2017
 
1969
 
5,249,940
100.0
N
5.77
0.45
98.85
1970
 
5,226,036
99.5
-0.46
5.73
0.44
98.79
1971
 
5,159,316
98.3
-1.28
5.63
0.43
98.04
1972
 
5,246,647
99.9
1.69
5.56
0.44
97.80
1973
 
5,401,982
102.9
2.96
5.49
0.45
97.60
1974
 
5,419,058
103.2
0.32
5.41
0.46
97.34
1975
 
5,302,386
101.0
-2.15
5.36
0.45
97.09
1976
 
5,353,339
102.0
0.96
5.27
0.45
96.44
1977
 
5,429,193
103.4
1.42
5.17
0.46
95.60
1978
 
5,561,889
105.9
2.44
5.07
0.47
94.92
1979
 
5,663,533
107.9
1.83
5.01
0.48
94.67
1980
 
5,624,462
107.1
-0.69
4.93
0.47
94.47
1981
 
5,583,974
106.4
-0.72
4.86
0.47
94.03
1982
 
5,473,792
104.3
-1.97
4.79
0.46
93.77
1983
 
5,432,690
103.5
-0.75
4.70
0.46
92.78
1984
 
5,577,004
106.2
2.66
4.63
0.47
92.36
1985
 
5,679,261
108.2
1.83
4.59
0.48
92.73
1986
 
5,772,102
109.9
1.63
4.57
0.49
93.19
1987
 
5,956,959
113.5
3.20
4.60
0.50
94.33
1988
 
6,119,812
116.6
2.73
4.58
0.52
94.57
1989
 
6,216,055
118.4
1.57
4.56
0.52
94.95
1990
 
6,292,542
119.9
1.23
4.55
0.53
95.39
1991
 
6,211,669
118.3
-1.29
4.51
0.52
95.30
1992
 
6,216,278
118.4
0.07
4.50
0.52
95.78
1993
 
6,256,367
119.2
0.64
4.44
0.52
95.31
1994
 
6,323,071
120.4
1.07
4.39
0.52
94.84
1995
 
6,422,943
122.3
1.58
4.34
0.53
94.79
1996
 
6,477,294
123.4
0.85
4.29
0.53
94.53
1997
 
6,584,830
125.4
1.66
4.26
0.54
95.01
1998
 
6,657,983
126.8
1.11
4.20
0.54
94.64
1999
 
6,764,343
128.8
1.60
4.19
0.55
95.28
2000
 
6,904,693
131.5
2.07
4.18
0.56
95.90
2001
 
6,915,464
131.7
0.16
4.18
0.56
96.80
2002
 
6,887,155
131.2
-0.41
4.17
0.56
97.30
2003
 
6,875,863
131.0
-0.16
4.14
0.56
97.15
2004
 
6,951,840
132.4
1.10
4.12
0.56
97.14
2005
 
7,053,674
134.4
1.46
4.09
0.57
97.15
2006
 
7,152,678
136.2
1.40
4.07
0.57
97.00
2007
 
7,265,045
138.4
1.57
4.05
0.58
97.02
2008
 
7,278,608
138.6
0.19
4.06
0.58
97.92
2009
 
7,101,557
135.3
-2.43
4.09
0.56
99.05
2010
 
7,119,776
135.6
0.26
4.12
0.56
100.21
2011
 
7,217,098
137.5
1.37
4.10
0.57
100.23
2012
 
7,284,519
138.8
0.93
4.07
0.57
100.09
2013
 
7,350,854
140.0
0.91
4.03
0.58
99.78
2014
 
7,437,412
141.7
1.18
3.99
0.58
99.48
2015
 
7,513,222
143.1
1.02
3.95
0.59
99.08
2016
 
7,597,336
144.7
1.12
3.93
0.59
99.37
2017
 
7,685,285
146.4
1.16
3.92
0.60
99.67
Source: Calculations by the Pennsylvania Regional Economic Analysis Project (PA-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2018
REAP_PI_CA1400_1000_PSN
 
   

Tip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
United States:
Total Employment, 1969-2017
 
1969
 
91,053,200
100.0
N
0.45
1970
 
91,277,600
100.2
0.25
0.45
1971
 
91,581,400
100.6
0.33
0.44
1972
 
94,312,200
103.6
2.98
0.45
1973
 
98,427,500
108.1
4.36
0.47
1974
 
100,111,800
109.9
1.71
0.47
1975
 
98,900,600
108.6
-1.21
0.46
1976
 
101,591,200
111.6
2.72
0.47
1977
 
105,042,200
115.4
3.40
0.48
1978
 
109,686,600
120.5
4.42
0.49
1979
 
113,147,100
124.3
3.15
0.50
1980
 
113,983,200
125.2
0.74
0.50
1981
 
114,914,000
126.2
0.82
0.50
1982
 
114,163,300
125.4
-0.65
0.49
1983
 
115,645,700
127.0
1.30
0.49
1984
 
120,528,100
132.4
4.22
0.51
1985
 
123,796,700
136.0
2.71
0.52
1986
 
126,232,300
138.6
1.97
0.53
1987
 
129,548,400
142.3
2.63
0.53
1988
 
133,563,900
146.7
3.10
0.55
1989
 
136,177,800
149.6
1.96
0.55
1990
 
138,330,900
151.9
1.58
0.55
1991
 
137,612,800
151.1
-0.52
0.54
1992
 
138,166,100
151.7
0.40
0.54
1993
 
140,774,400
154.6
1.89
0.54
1994
 
144,196,600
158.4
2.43
0.55
1995
 
147,915,800
162.4
2.58
0.56
1996
 
151,056,200
165.9
2.12
0.56
1997
 
154,541,200
169.7
2.31
0.57
1998
 
158,481,200
174.1
2.55
0.57
1999
 
161,531,300
177.4
1.92
0.58
2000
 
165,370,800
181.6
2.38
0.59
2001
 
165,522,200
181.8
0.09
0.58
2002
 
165,095,100
181.3
-0.26
0.57
2003
 
165,921,500
182.2
0.50
0.57
2004
 
168,839,700
185.4
1.76
0.58
2005
 
172,338,400
189.3
2.07
0.58
2006
 
175,868,600
193.1
2.05
0.59
2007
 
179,543,700
197.2
2.09
0.60
2008
 
179,213,900
196.8
-0.18
0.59
2009
 
173,636,700
190.7
-3.11
0.57
2010
 
172,901,700
189.9
-0.42
0.56
2011
 
176,091,700
193.4
1.84
0.57
2012
 
178,979,700
196.6
1.64
0.57
2013
 
182,325,100
200.2
1.87
0.58
2014
 
186,235,800
204.5
2.14
0.58
2015
 
190,317,800
209.0
2.19
0.59
2016
 
193,368,900
212.4
1.60
0.60
2017
 
196,132,200
215.4
1.43
0.60
Source: Calculations by the Pennsylvania Regional Economic Analysis Project (PA-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2018
REAP_PI_CA1400_1000_PN
 
   
Copyright © 2018. Pacific Northwest Regional Economic Analysis Project (PNREAP). All Rights Reserved.

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