Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Wholesale Trade Earnings Growth
Across Pennsylvania Counties
Real* Wholesale Trade
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Wholesale Trade
Earnings Growth
Pennsylvania:
2010-2022 = 2.69%
2022 = 7.08%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of real wholesale trade earnings growth across all of Pennsylvania's 67 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Pennsylvania Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the real wholesale trade earnings growth of Pennsylvania's 67 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Real* Wholesale Trade
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Wholesale Trade
Earnings Growth
Pennsylvania:
2010-2022 = 2.69%
2022 = 7.08%
This figure displays the 67 counties of Pennsylvania as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the real wholesale trade earnings growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term real wholesale trade earnings growth exceeded the statewide average of 2.69%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 2.69% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate trailed the statewide average (2.69%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 25 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 24 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 24 counties whose most recent (2022) real wholesale trade earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (7.08%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 25 counties whose real wholesale trade earnings growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 67 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 2.69% over 2010-2022 and 7.08% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (2.69%) and near-term (7.08%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (2.69%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Pennsylvania average (7.08%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate fell below the statewide average (2.69%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (7.08%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (2.69%) and near-term (7.08%).
   
 
Summary of Pennsylvania's 67 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(7.08%)
Above
(7.08%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(2.69%)
11
14
25
Below
(2.69%)
14
10
24
 
25
24
49
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Pennsylvania:
2010-2022 = 2.69%
2022 = 7.08%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Pennsylvania counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Pennsylvania's average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 2.69%) as well as near-term (2022 = 7.08%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Pennsylvania's 67 counties, 14 (21%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Pennsylvania:
2010-2022 = 2.69%
2022 = 7.08%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 11 Pennsylvania counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 2.69%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 7.08%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Observe that 11 (16%) of Pennsylvania's 67 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Pennsylvania:
2010-2022 = 2.69%
2022 = 7.08%
This figure shows the distribution of the 10 Pennsylvania counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 2.69%), while they outpaced Pennsylvania's average near-term (2022 = 7.08%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Pennsylvania's 67 counties, only 15% (10) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Pennsylvania:
2010-2022 = 2.69%
2022 = 7.08%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 14 Pennsylvania counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 2.69%) as well as near-term (2022 = 7.08%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
21% of Pennsylvania's counties, 14 of 67, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Pennsylvania
Real* Wholesale Trade Earnings Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
19
3.29
 
11
11.00
43,026
 
12
3.90
 
29
7.31
147,274
 
15
3.62
 
20
8.13
38,133
 
22
3.04
 
21
7.96
2,064,056
 
16
3.45
 
6
15.26
522,270
 
25
2.72
 
3
18.55
32,421
 
14
3.64
 
13
10.63
819,275
 
2
9.91
 
1
29.00
31,213
 
6
4.81
 
8
12.90
1,443,036
 
18
3.35
 
25
7.78
4,307,155
 
3
8.81
 
7
13.59
38,270
 
8
4.20
 
15
9.92
524,399
 
5
4.87
 
27
7.71
29,673
 
11
3.92
 
16
9.74
656,548
Slipping Counties
 
23
2.94
 
31
6.85
27,383
 
1
28.29
 
47
3.80
410
 
17
3.41
 
49
3.51
49,642
 
7
4.48
 
54
1.16
42,665
 
24
2.79
 
44
4.38
1,156,053
 
10
4.01
 
40
4.83
96,702
 
9
4.12
 
46
4.10
102,305
 
13
3.80
 
36
5.74
356,711
 
20
3.16
 
48
3.77
66,116
 
4
5.82
 
38
4.98
495,285
 
21
3.14
 
51
2.69
1,723,924
Gaining Counties
 
40
1.00
 
2
23.65
35,828
 
39
1.04
 
14
10.06
111,544
 
29
2.24
 
22
7.95
1,989,813
 
27
2.31
 
17
9.21
431,567
 
36
1.58
 
24
7.88
241,790
 
26
2.56
 
9
12.16
99,958
 
38
1.21
 
12
10.97
100,488
 
45
0.38
 
18
9.02
68,280
 
47
-1.20
 
19
8.99
63,930
 
33
1.68
 
26
7.77
505,247
Lagging Counties
 
37
1.45
 
41
4.73
2,900,412
 
32
1.88
 
39
4.88
607,939
 
35
1.63
 
32
6.33
190,537
 
42
0.73
 
35
5.78
60,659
 
46
0.23
 
53
2.18
17,466
 
48
-1.38
 
34
5.83
11,114
 
31
1.93
 
42
4.62
485,740
 
34
1.64
 
52
2.40
135,435
 
49
-3.68
 
50
2.71
24,439
 
44
0.53
 
43
4.49
101,434
 
41
0.78
 
33
5.88
43,788
 
28
2.25
 
45
4.18
72,495
 
43
0.59
 
37
5.63
35,924
 
30
2.09
 
55
-0.88
10,264
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
S
S
21,374
 
U
U
 
56
-2.14
20,204
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
5
16.03
485
 
U
U
 
S
S
4,777
 
U
U
 
4
16.58
26,358
 
U
U
 
30
7.01
17,287
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
23
7.91
31,522
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
10,062
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
3,675
 
U
U
 
10
11.63
26,372
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
28
7.60
23,474
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2.69
 
7.08
24,698,953
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
3.94
 
9.59
710,955,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1600N_610600_LSGL
 
   
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