Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Military Earnings Growth
Across Pennsylvania Counties
Real* Military
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Military
Earnings Growth
Pennsylvania:
2010-2022 = -0.85%
2022 = 1.15%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of real military earnings growth across all of Pennsylvania's 67 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Pennsylvania Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the real military earnings growth of Pennsylvania's 67 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Real* Military
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Military
Earnings Growth
Pennsylvania:
2010-2022 = -0.85%
2022 = 1.15%
This figure displays the 67 counties of Pennsylvania as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual real military earnings growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the real military earnings growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term real military earnings growth exceeded the statewide average of -0.85%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at -0.85% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual real military earnings growth rate trailed the statewide average (-0.85%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 23 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 44 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 49 counties whose most recent (2022) real military earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (1.15%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 18 counties whose real military earnings growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 67 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of -0.85% over 2010-2022 and 1.15% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real military earnings growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (-0.85%) and near-term (1.15%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real military earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (-0.85%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Pennsylvania average (1.15%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real military earnings growth rate fell below the statewide average (-0.85%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (1.15%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real military earnings growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (-0.85%) and near-term (1.15%).
   
 
Summary of Pennsylvania's 67 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(1.15%)
Above
(1.15%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(-0.85%)
8
15
23
Below
(-0.85%)
10
34
44
 
18
49
67
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Pennsylvania:
2010-2022 = -0.85%
2022 = 1.15%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Pennsylvania counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Pennsylvania's average annual real military earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = -0.85%) as well as near-term (2022 = 1.15%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real military earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Pennsylvania's 67 counties, 15 (22%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Pennsylvania:
2010-2022 = -0.85%
2022 = 1.15%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 8 Pennsylvania counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real military earnings growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = -0.85%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 1.15%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual real military earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Only 8 (12%) of Pennsylvania's 67 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Pennsylvania:
2010-2022 = -0.85%
2022 = 1.15%
This figure shows the distribution of the 34 Pennsylvania counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real military earnings growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = -0.85%), while they outpaced Pennsylvania's average near-term (2022 = 1.15%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual real military earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Pennsylvania's 67 counties, 51% (34) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Pennsylvania:
2010-2022 = -0.85%
2022 = 1.15%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 10 Pennsylvania counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual real military earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = -0.85%) as well as near-term (2022 = 1.15%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real military earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
15% of Pennsylvania's counties, 10 of 67, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Pennsylvania
Real* Military Earnings Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
16
-0.66
 
19
3.80
59,492
 
7
-0.13
 
8
6.94
18,410
 
13
-0.49
 
15
4.41
47,713
 
4
0.38
 
29
2.96
3,994
 
18
-0.69
 
34
1.84
5,356
 
2
0.93
 
5
7.72
39,138
 
17
-0.69
 
22
3.62
55,731
 
20
-0.79
 
28
2.99
28,346
 
10
-0.42
 
10
6.19
15,079
 
22
-0.85
 
14
4.46
20,202
 
15
-0.65
 
20
3.76
48,713
 
19
-0.70
 
7
7.11
31,676
 
12
-0.47
 
2
10.67
3,712
 
21
-0.83
 
3
10.59
5,024
 
11
-0.43
 
21
3.72
22,268
Slipping Counties
 
14
-0.54
 
55
-0.02
155,454
 
3
0.53
 
61
-2.16
23,449
 
5
0.09
 
67
-30.32
3,654
 
1
1.74
 
53
0.73
181,451
 
23
-0.85
 
64
-7.78
16,625
 
9
-0.29
 
62
-3.52
28,733
 
8
-0.28
 
57
-0.11
216,222
 
6
-0.01
 
56
-0.10
4,090
Gaining Counties
 
55
-1.91
 
42
1.38
5,603
 
35
-1.33
 
24
3.51
14,903
 
53
-1.85
 
35
1.83
4,118
 
27
-0.96
 
26
3.17
37,901
 
29
-1.02
 
9
6.41
5,492
 
66
-4.03
 
23
3.62
13,086
 
33
-1.19
 
33
1.95
5,650
 
32
-1.18
 
12
5.39
6,979
 
40
-1.44
 
11
5.73
7,457
 
49
-1.75
 
17
3.99
11,140
 
46
-1.57
 
31
2.19
1,258
 
54
-1.88
 
45
1.28
3,394
 
38
-1.38
 
6
7.65
8,088
 
48
-1.60
 
49
1.15
3,774
 
51
-1.79
 
32
1.97
2,017
 
64
-2.85
 
4
7.94
13,681
 
24
-0.87
 
18
3.85
34,162
 
31
-1.11
 
13
5.08
10,178
 
26
-0.95
 
1
13.51
3,723
 
45
-1.56
 
16
4.21
9,410
 
44
-1.53
 
41
1.56
3,966
 
37
-1.35
 
37
1.81
1,522
 
50
-1.75
 
46
1.28
7,616
 
34
-1.31
 
30
2.39
3,986
 
28
-1.00
 
27
3.06
5,255
 
57
-1.94
 
40
1.60
1,399
 
41
-1.45
 
25
3.48
12,294
 
56
-1.93
 
43
1.35
5,994
 
58
-2.02
 
38
1.67
486
 
63
-2.40
 
47
1.23
3,302
 
47
-1.60
 
44
1.35
3,453
 
60
-2.26
 
48
1.16
3,233
 
43
-1.46
 
36
1.81
4,224
 
59
-2.06
 
39
1.60
2,220
Lagging Counties
 
25
-0.91
 
65
-10.00
8,836
 
42
-1.46
 
52
0.78
10,729
 
62
-2.39
 
50
1.05
384
 
52
-1.81
 
51
0.96
2,638
 
65
-3.23
 
58
-0.84
356
 
61
-2.27
 
54
0.50
2,793
 
30
-1.03
 
66
-15.12
7,904
 
67
-4.05
 
59
-1.33
76,833
 
39
-1.42
 
60
-1.73
31,480
 
36
-1.34
 
63
-4.52
70,901
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
-0.85
 
1.15
1,508,350
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
0.97
 
0.54
157,200,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1600N_620200_LSGL
 
   
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